York Ebor Festival Betting Tips: 21/08/2020

York Betting Tips: 21/08/2020


Evening,


Firstly, I hope your all well and have been enjoying your week? As I mentioned a little earlier this week, I have decided to cover Friday’s and Saturday’s racing instead of Saturday and Sunday as I just feel as though these selected days have more value on offer for us. Here are tomorrow’s selections and fingers crossed for a good day.

KOEMAN (13.45 York, 0.5pts each-way @14/1)

DARK JEDI (13.45 York, 0.5pts each-way @15/2)


This is a nice handicap to kick start Friday’s action, and I’ve got two selections that have an outstanding chance of taking the gold medal. Mick Channon’s six-year-old KOEMAN is only 4lb above his last winning mark and ran well over in Meydan four times earlier this year before outperforming his largely market expectations when third at Ascot off a mark of 99. He then filled sixth place back over the same C&D and has subsequently been dropped another 1lb by the handicapper here with the booking of Oisin Murphy who could yield further improvement out of this gelding. 


The second one I like, who could just have that improvement to go beyond a mark of 89, is the Tim Easterby-trained DARK JEDI. He won’t mind a touch of rain having won back-to-back races on ground ranging from good and soft, indicating that he’s far from ground dependent. He finished a cracking fourth in the John Smith’s Cup two starts ago at this track where he was only beaten five lengths. That performance should be recognised greatly considering he did best of those drown really low with the exception of the winner, whereas Dark Jedi, suffered a poor passage, and would have finished a lot closer with a clear run otherwise. 


He warmed up for this race with a fair fourth on the AW last time out off an unchanged mark, and now returns to the scene of his career-best performance on what is again, the same mark of 89. This race is evidently much easier than the John Smith’s Cup that he encountered, so with that taken into consideration, and stall two that might prove beneficial based on previous runnings of the race, he’s a cracking each-way bet. 


ENBIHAAR (14.15 York, 1pt win @9/4)

EAGLES BY DAY (14.15 York, 0.5pts each-way @8/1)


ENBIHAAR is a fascinating participant in receipt of her sex allowance. John Gosden’s mare has won six of her eleven races and could just be suited to this emphasis on stamina based on her three previous victories over 1m6f where she had shown a determined attitude on each occasion. I don’t think the rain-softened ground will effect her any possible way, and if she takes another step forward from her comeback success three weeks ago, this could potentially be a shrewd bit of placing by connections which could well see her come out on top given she actually comes out best at the weights and ratings being the second highest-rated at 113 while getting 3lb from her market rival Nayef Road.


Perhaps the most overpriced runner in the race who remains unexposed over this sort of trip is the David O’Meara-trained EAGLES BY DAY who got his career back on track here last month when winning a Group-3, for which he was always holding the 114-rated runner-up Communique. His career-best performance was no doubt in last month’s Group-1 Goodwood Cup where he didn’t look out of place finishing fourth to be beaten only around 5 ¼ lengths at the line. That was his try try at 2-miles, and first try at the highest-level, so with how well he travelled into the race and kept on at the one pace signalled positives going forward. 


Let’s not forget, Eagles By Day was also giving Santiago nearly one stone at the weights, and he doesn’t have to do anything similar in today’s race. It’s highly likely that Nayef Road will set it up him again today given how well Eagles By Day was well-suited to the strong pace the last day, and now his stamina is comfortably assured along with proven top-class form behind Stradivarius over this trip, today’s race is much easier in contrast to that Goodwood race, therefore, more improvement is not without the realms of possibility, so it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see him win this. 


LAUDED (14.45 York, 0.5pts each-way @14/1)

YAZAMAN (14.45 York, 1pt win @5/1)


Two horses I have kept on side this season clash in this very strong-renewal of the Gimcrack Stakes, and I’m more than happy to stick with both of them again. Both YAZAMAN and LAUDED both filled runner-up and third place positions respectively in the Richmond Stakes at Glorious Goodwood. Tom Dascombe’s smart two-year-old was an impressive winner on debut on similar ground to what he will encounter this Friday.

He then finished a respectable seventh in the Coventry Stakes Royal Ascot where he travelled extremely well, looking the winner for a brief moment, before the sticky ground along with the high-draw looked viable excuses for the lack of turn of foot in the closing stages. He looked back on good terms with himself when a good third last time out in a warm Group-2 where he was only a neck behind Yazaman at the line, and it seemed likely the winner had the run of things on the front-end. 


Tom Dascombe had mentioned beforehand that he wasn’t sure the quick ground would suit, so being back on a more favourable surface here with a nice draw in stall 6, I’m very optimistic of a bold showing from this beautiful two-year-old, who I do believe is capable of winning this race having acquitted himself well at this level already without having his optimism conditions. That alone makes him an appealing bet and given the fact that the bookmakers seemed to have underestimated his chances, I can’t not have him.


As already mentioned, Yazaman is the other one I want on side again despite finding one too good on the last three occasions. On face value, you’d be slightly disappointed, but from a form perspective, he sets the standard. He has plied his trade well since winning on debut against some very good horses, and he only had a neck to spare over Lauded last time out, but I think both himself, and Lauded, are two highly talented individuals. For sure, the William Haggas-trained two-year-old is up against mostly unexposed, improving smart prospects, but he will be hard to keep out of the frame as everything besides himself, Ubetterbelieveit and Lauded needs much more improvement to trouble them. 


RUSHMORE (15.45 York, 0.5pts each-way @8/1)


I have a portion of respect to the Andrew Balding-trained RUSHMORE (E/W NAP) who ran with plenty of credit on debut in what was a strong-looking Novice race at Newbury. He was always towards the rear and ran green before hanging left inside the final two furlongs, but to his credit, he stayed on quite nicely to not be beaten that far under those circumstances. There’s a strong chance he will have improved not only mentally but physically for that experience, and from a good slot in stall 2, he can put all those combinations to good use here with a big performance. 


ANGEL POWER (16.15 York, 1pts each-way @5/1)

WALIYAK (16.15 York, 0.5pt win @4/1)


This is highly-competitive, but hopefully we have a decent angle to the race. ANGEL POWER (NAP) could be quite well-handicapped on a mark of 91. She ran well to finish third on debut before winning nicely at Chelmsford, for which she beat Award Scheme who is now rated 98. That form alone clearly underestimates the mark Art Power has been given by the assessor before unfortunately bumping into a couple of well-treated sorts over a mile the last twice on the turf. The step up to 1m2f promises to bring about further improvement, and with the latent potential to prove herself capable off this mark which underplays her ability from a handicapping perspective, she has to be the bet to at least hit the frame. 

My second stab at the race will be a small bet on the ultra-consistent and reliable WALIYAK, who has yet to finish outside the top two in all five of her career races. She did little wrong when chasing home the useful Onassis at Royal Ascot who won next time out before chasing home runaway leader Chamade at Goodwood off a mark of 87. Another 3lb rise in the handicap won’t make life any easier for her, but she’s going the right way having done nothing wrong up to this point and the booking of Andrea Atzeni in the saddle should enhance her chances even further attempting a new trip. She can’t be discounted, but my main hope in the race is my nap of the day, Angel Power.


Thanks,


Steven.

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