Super Saturday at Meydan & Another Weekend Pointer.
So here we are at Super Saturday at the Dubai Meydan Carnival, well in the title at least.
The echoes of equine hooves will be rattling around closed doors of Meydan's incredible stand due to the wretched Covid-19, Coronavirus.
Will be a strange atmosphere for their second-biggest race night behind world cup night, plus you have the added tension for Godolphin after recent developments off the track.
Anyway enough of all that lets talk racing and horse race rating pointers.
12.00 Listed Race - 1m1f Dirt
Ya Hayati form looks a wee bit suspect to me. He beat Timo Nurmos last time out and grey Flash in 3rd by a neck. Prior to that Timo Nurmos was 7th and behind Grey Flash in 5th and that race looks ropey in terms of form.
But when you look through the others in the race, it stacks up as decent form, he should come on for that Meydan debut and providing he can handle the wide draw, which is not ideal, he could win this comfortably.
One at a price that could go well is Grey Flash at 28/1, if you fancy a little EW or Win and Place bet. Ya Hayati is a general 10/3 & Grey Flash EW 28/1
12.35 Group 3 - 6f Dirt
Bochart has looked very impressive on his 2 runs, winning easily this season, gave most of his rivals a few Ilbs and still turned them over.
My other interest in this race is Wafy, switched to the dirt and a sprinters trip of 6f last time out, looks to have worked the oracle. A repeat of that and 14/1 could look overpriced.
Bochart 15/8 & Wafy 14/1 EW
1.10 Group 3 - 6f Turf
Space Blues brings into this some very good European form but has not run since August and it can be tough to face rivals already 2 or 3 runs into the Dubai Carnival.
His price is way too short in my view. At the prices,
I would take a little chance on Rusumaat, won a competitive Listed Sprint at a big price a month ago a repeat of that would give him an EW chance.
Rusumaat 10/1 EW
1.45 Group 3 - 1m Dirt
This is a trappy heat, Secret Ambition ran OK on last 2 starts, just ran into one good winner Capezzano and just touched off by Kimbear.
Now just going down the list of runners, one stands out and that his Prodigal Son, who was second behind Bochart on his last run. The form of that could look good if Bochart wins again.
Prodigal Son 16/1 EW
2.20 Group 1 - 1m1f
Magic Lilly has to be the play EW at the prices, had two proper duels with Nisreen on last 2 starts.
This is tougher though with Barney Roy a short-priced favourite, but there could be a bit of a bounce factor for Barney Roy. On all back form, he should be tough to beat but i'm not taking that short a price.
Magil Lilly EW 5/1
2.55 Group 1 - 1m2f
Military Law will be very tough to beat and you would have to fancy Matterhorn to finish in second
Military Law was second behind Benbatl last time out and the form of that tells you he is the one to beat with plenty of collateral form to go on.
Military Law 13/8
3.30 Group 2 - 1m4f
I will be passing over this race, Defoe needs to show better form compared to last season even to place in this.
It is the kind of race, where I would have a purely speculative bet and that will be on Privilegiado at a monster 80/1 EW, ran 3rd behind Ghaiyyath, who was favourite for the Arc last year, so it is not shocking form, if you can seak an extra place or 2 then take it.
Privilegiado 80/1 EW
7.30 Class 2 - 2m
7.30 Weekender is here and to qualify for the AW championships. Did run a poor race at Kempton start of December, but that was over 12f and I do not think that suits him as he will get tapped for toe. This longer trip, with Dettori on board, should see lots of improvement.
Mildenberger would be a big threat, but again with a lot of the runners, their adjustment will be vital at this longer trip.