Sunday Betting Tips: 16/08/2020

Sunday Betting Tips: Ripon & Newbury

Morning,


Pretty solid day yesterday with a couple of nice winners on the board for us who were HUKUM at 5/1 and DREAM OF DREAMS at 2/1 who secured us with a small bit of profit on the day.

Today’s racing looks superb, and I have nine selections split between Ripon and Newbury. I wish you all the best of luck and have a great Sunday.

B FIFTY TWO (13.30 Ripon, 0.5pts each-way @9/1)


This won’t take a lot of winning, and preference is for the very well-handicapped B Fifty Two who looks set to capitalise off a much reduced mark. His last two performances have indicated that age hasn’t caught up with himjust yet  having run well to finish fourth over five-furlongs here last time. That had the look of a better race than the one he’s competing in this weekend and the last time he ran over C&D he finished second off a mark of 66 in a class 5 event. To put things into clear perspective, today’s race is a class 6 which will see him run in the race off a mark of 54. I just think he has an ideal set-up here and is most certainly the rock-solid each-way proposition in the race with a strong chance of taking top honours. 


MOTTRIB (14.25 Newbury, 1pt each-way @6/1)


This looks competitive but if a high-draw doesn’t inconvenience Mottrib (e/w nap) then there is a strong chance that he’s better than his official handicap mark of 87 for the Varian and Atzeni combination. This three-year-old colt won nicely on debut and despite being turned over the next twice, I was visually impressed with how he performed when upped in class on handicap debut at Glorious Goodwood against battle-hardened handicappers - staying on nicely to take fifth place of the 13 runners. Interestingly, the handicapper has dropped him 2lb for that eye-catching display which gives him strong claims in today’s race, especially knowing there is plenty of more room for improvement on just his second start in handicap company.


INTERNATIONAL DREAM (14.40 Ripon, 1pt win @15/8)


I wouldn’t normally venture too far into these small-field affairs, but one horse in particular in this four-runner event looks a standout betting proposition. Richard Fahey’s International Dream has improved with each outing, and his latest couple of third placed efforts is very strong form in contrast to what his three rivals here have achieved thus far. The Acclamation colt is 1-1 over six-furlongs, so the return to this trip is probably a bonus if anything, and even if this turns out to be a tactically-run contest, his effective strong burst of speed could prove decisive. There are a couple of dangers lurking in the shape of Fountain Cross and Red Fascinator while I apportion due to respect to Bowman, but I’m hopeful International Dream will come out on top. 


KIMIFIVE (15.15 Ripon, 0.5pt each-way @8/1)

GUNMETAL (15.15 Ripon, 0.5pt each-way @8/1)

(All odds are with bookmakers paying 5 places)


There’s plenty of strength in depth as you might have expected for this ultra-competitive sprint race at Ripon which is the feature race on the card. 


For all his consistency in large-field handicaps, this could be the time that Kimifive deservedly gets his head in front in one of these races. He’s a horse who often needs plenty of luck-in-running due to his hold-up style of racing, but Cieran Fallon executed the perfect ride on him in the Steward’s Cup at Goodwood where he struck the front inside the furlong pole only to be headed in the last stride by the top-weight and very classy Summerghand. He’s been hit with a 4lb rise for that run in defeat but that might not prevent him from going one better today with a similar effort to last time. 


The other one I want to back at a nice price and is given one more chance to shine is C&D specialist Gunmetal, who ran well to finish a close-up third over C&D last time out behind Staxton and Watchable when giving 5lb to the winner. This reliable six-year-old gets respite in the weights, which gives him excellent claims of reversing form with both the two mentioned above. I’m convinced being drawn middle is where you want to be, so his slot in stall 9 should allow him to grab an early prominent position and having won this race two years ago when comfortably despatching Dakota Gold who had the benefit of the weights in comparison to this weekend’s contest. The cherry on top is his 10lb lower mark than when successful in this race that year mentioned, therefore, he’s a standout each-way proposition.


CAROLINE DALE (15.35 Newbury, 1pt win @5/2)

AMOR DE MI VIDA (15.35 Newbury, 0.5pts each-way @8/1)


This is a cracking line-up for it’s grade, but Caroline Dale sets a very high standard for the rest to aim at based on her two brilliant performances in defeat which included a fine third in the Group-2 Queen Mary Stakes at Royal Ascot before nearly making all the running when third in a competitive Group-3 back at the same track when last seen. In between those two highly encouraging displays, she comfortably got on the scoresheet at Windsor, and that form has been well-advertised by the third horse Thank You Next winning nicely since. The drop back to five-furlongs will be in her favour because she’s a speedy sort and her time-figures are good. She’s just a rock-solid filly, who hits the ground effectively, who, unlike most of her rivals drops in class following her creditable effort most recently, and she’s the one they all have to beat. 


Meanwhile, Archie Watson’s team are in very good form so it could prove significant to see Amor De Mi Vida stepping up in class on the back of a fluent success at York which enhanced the promise she had already shown on debut when second. I’m not sure what the value of the form is worth at this present moment, but Hollie Doyle is here to ride this promising filly, and the figures her mount achieved last time entitles her to plenty of respect with room for plenty more improvement. 


ROLFE REMBRANDT (16.10 Newbury, 1pt win @9/4)


The time-figures and the level of form he’s shown in all three promising efforts in defeat so far makes Rolfe Rembrandt hard to beat this afternoon despite not being favourite at the moment. We all know that JoJo Rabbit is a very nice sort but there is a suspicion he’s going to find it tough to concede weight to Michael Scudamore’a two-year-old who was just touched off on debut and has taken on fairly strong opposition the next twice. The drop back in trip this afternoon along with a-bit of cut in the ground will definitely favour him so he’s therefore handed a speculative vote to get the better of the top-weight this afternoon.


MAGNOLIA MORALIA (16.25 Ripon, 2pts win @11/8)


Later on at Ripon, John Quinn’s Magnolia Moralia (nap) has an excellent chance of following up his impressive victory at Hamilton a couple of weeks ago. The ground was soft that day and after finding plenty of trouble up the home straight, he switched wide and came home strongly to lead on the post. He’s only been hit with a 2lb rise in the weights for that win, and that arguably leaves him still very well-treated truth be told. His fifth on seasonal debut has also worked out extremely well, where again, he didn’t get a clear run against better opposition before a strong surge late on saw him not be beaten far. His proven versatility regarding the ground is a plus, and furthermore, he’s the second highest rated in the race but gets lumps of weight from top-weight Bollin Joan who is only rated 2lb higher than the selection, for which makes John Quinn’s improving three-year-old a very hard horse to stop and everything looks in place for him to win again.


Cheers,


Steven

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