Sunday Betting Tips: 02/08/2020

Sunday Betting Tips: Sandown, Deauville & Leicester


Evening everyone, 


I hope you all enjoyed today. We managed a big day of profit and winners with three winners in total at 12/1 (TITAN ROCK), 10/1 (HOCHFELD) and 7/4 (SOCIETY LION) along with an each-way second at 11/1 (KIMIFIVE) who went mightily close to winning the Steward’s Cup and making it win number four on the day.


Tomorrow’s racing looks pretty good and I’m hopeful we will get a few more winners on the board. Here are my best bets for tomorrow’s action to conclude the week. Best of luck to each and every one of you, and enjoy the rest of your weekend. 


PHOLAS (13.10 Sandown, 0.5pt each-way @9/1)


This looks a weak-race to start proceedings at Sandown and it could be pay to concentrate on Amanda Perrett’s newcomer PHOLAS who will sport the colours of Khalid Abdullah. She’s a nicely-bred filly who will have the assistance of James Doyle on her debut here. An interesting angle to her chance is the stable’s fine place strike-rate at Sandown over the last two years. Amanda has had 17 runners, for which 11 of those have reached the frame resulting with an impressive (65%) strike-rate in total. As I stated previously, this race won’t take a lot of winning, therefore, Pholas wouldn’t need to be an above-average sort to be taking this. 


MIGHTY GURKHA (13.35 Deauville, 2pt win @13/8)


This should be fascinating with both Hollie Doyle and her partner Tom Marquand fighting for favouritism. Archie Watson makes a rare visit to the track with the very classy MIGHTY GURKHA (NAP) who was so impressed on debut at Lingfield before running an excellent race in defeat when fifth at Royal Ascot in the Windsor Castle Stakes over a trip much too short. However, his 2 ¼ length second behind Method in the Rose Bowl Stakes when returned to six furlongs should be acknowledged greatly considering he gave problems behind the stalls and was head-strong for most of the contest. 


So with the mere fact that he kept up the gallop and put 3 ¼ lengths between himself and the third horse was a very smart run in defeat. Archie Watson drops him back to five furlongs for today’s Group-3 contest which initially looked negative, but this track should play to Mighty Gurkha’s strengths and his speed-figures combined with an impressive RP rating comfortably makes him a warm favourite. I’m expecting this speed-freak and high-class individual to gain a much deserved first pattern-race success. 


CLOUDBRIDGE (13.35 Leicester, 1pt win @3/1)


A very open-looking affair with plenty of the big yard’s turning out some well-bred newcomers. It remains a fact-finding mission as to which of the three Godolphin team-members will turn out to be useful further down the line, but preference is for Charlie Appleby’s CLOUDBRIDGE with Ryan Moore an interesting booking for connections. The Charlie Appleby team are in fine form of late and he boasts an excellent (29% win strike-rate and (71%) place strike-rate at this track over the last couple of years and this imposing two-year-old can be recognised as his only runner on today’s card. 


BLESSED (13.45 Sandown, 1pt win @4/1)

COLONEL WHITEHEAD (13.45 Sandown, 1pt win @9/2)


This is a tricky-race to dissect with plenty in the race who hold leading claims. Having said that, I’m happy to go double-handed in the race with confidence that we have the race covered. 


We were on the Henry Candy-trained BLESSED last time out who came so close to getting off the mark for connections over C&D 17 days ago. He was narrowly denied by course specialist Wilfy in the dying strides having travelled powerfully throughout the contest. The handicapper has given him a real good chance of going one better this afternoon putting him up just 1lb while also carrying much less-weight then last time. I rank him as one of the likeliest winners at a fairly decent price. 


COLONEL WHITEHEAD sprung a 22/1 surprise when tackling this trip for the first time just ten days ago over C&D, but the more I look at that race the more I’m inclined to believe there was no fluke about it. He did plenty wrong that day but still won with authority as he pulled away from the opposition towards the finish. He is up 6lb for that success, but I don’t think that’s enough to prevent him from another bold show given he’s won two higher-grade races on the AW previously. 


FORMALITY (14.20 Sandown, 1pt each-way @15/2) 


My best bet of the day comes in the 14.20 at 10/1 (general) named FORMALITY (E/W NAP) trained by Michael Bell who has an outstanding record at this track over the last couple of years. He’s operated at around (33%) of winners while also taking into account his impressive (78%) place strike-rate with seven of those horses reaching the frame from just nine runners he’s sent to the track. This son of Frankel has run three times, for which have all been perfectly respectable efforts, finishing fifth on debut behind the likes of Al Aasy, Galsworthy and Time Collins who have all franked the form since. He found the listed class all too much for him next time out but I think that race is worth following for the specific reasons I will mention below. 


I tipped up The First King who was one place behind him that day who went on to win at 50/1 next time out for us, and as I mentioned previously on my write-up for that selection, all the front five home that day have boosted the form in either Group company or Listed company. Formality could only finish sixth when last seen, but again, the race has worked out very well and this race is evidently much easier. An opening handicap debutant mark of 73 looks very generous in contrast to the horses he’s competed against on all three starts for connections thus far, and with Group-1 winning rider Cieren Fallon booked for the ride, there are plenty of positives to envisage him capitalising off this sort of mark and there is certainly more to come from him.  


BY MY SIDE (14.50 Sandown, 1pt win @11/4)


BY MY SIDE is another one of Michael Bell’s strong contenders on today’s card who is a consistent-filly going places after three solid efforts in defeat this season. It’s interesting to see the visor now applied to her having come from a difficult position to be strong at the finish when second over C&D a couple of weeks ago. She’s only up 2lb for that good run in defeat and a repeat performance should see her off the mark. Therefore, I’m advising her as a bullish win-bet selection to enhance Michael Bell’s excellent record at the track with pretensions to improve past her current mark. 


GREY FOX (15.20 Sandown, 0.5pt each-way @15/2)


This is a race lacking strength in the depth with the exception of front-runner and favourite Molinari who drops in class after a career best effort in defeat at Ascot. But he represents no value and the one I like at a price is Emma Lavelle’s GREY FOX who makes plenty of appeal. He’s been strong at the finish on all three starts for connections having got himself outpaced on each occasion before storming through to be nearest the finish. Clearly, he’s shaped like he has plenty more to give going forward for connecting on the basis of his finishing efforts after just three starts for his well-established dual purpose trainer Emma Lavelle. 


His stamina was again firmly in evidence when he stuck on stoutly, from well off the pace, finishing seventh of 14 over C&D a few weeks ago having gave away ground at the start which wouldn’t of helped matters and the handicapper has provided him with some relief, dropping him a couple of pounds for that eye-catching run in defeat. That latest piece of form was his first run for eight months so he was entitled to have needed that outing. So with that being said, fitness will be assured this time and with Rab Havlin maintaining the partnership - this imposing colt looks set to outrun his current double-figure odds.


Thanks,


Steven

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