Saturday Betting Tips: 29/08/2020

Saturday Betting Tips:

This weekend’s action provides some decent racing with plenty of value on offer for us. Last weekend saw us have 2/2 winning day’s for the team with some nice profit. Once again, I will be covering all of Saturday and Sunday’s racing with tips for you. Good luck if your following and with your own bets.

ISABELLA GILES (13.50 Goodwood, 0.5pts each-way @9/2)


At first glance, I was mightily impressed with how Pomelo went about her business on debut at Newbury, winning by five-lengths. However, I’m wanting something with a bit more value, so perhaps Clive Cox’s ISABELLA GILES will appreciate the step up to seven-furlongs. This filly won her first couple of races quite stylishly which followed up with an excellent fourth in a Group Three at Ascot last month. The way she saw that race out suggested a step up in trip could prove beneficial and this race is a significant drop down in class in comparison to that one. Clive Cox has an astonishing strike-rate with two-year-old’s at this track and that bodes well for the chances of Isabella Giles, who looks to be Adam Kirby’s best ride on the card.


VENTURA REBEL (14.05 Newmarket, 0.5pts each-way @7/1)

JASH (14.05 Newmarket, 0.5pts each-way @6/1)


Summerghand is the clear top-rated and has been in terrific form this season. He thoroughly deserves to be at the head of the market, but he represents no value at cramped odds.


VENTURA REBEL looks a smart sort for Richard Fahey, and having won his first couple of races as a two-year-old, he’s plied his trade well at a fair level ever since including when finishing a neck second in the Group Two Norfolk Stakes behind A’Ali. He then followed up that good effort with fourth place in the Super Sprint Stakes, sixth place in the Group Three Pavilion Stakes and third place in the Group One Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot. Although unable to get involved last time out when fifth at this level, perhaps the ground was too quick for him and today’s going will see him to better effect. I think this horse has been underestimated by a few formerly with proven top-class form to his name, and I’m convinced he has sound claims of outclassing this field with more improvement to come. Worse case scenario, I’m hopeful of at least a top three finish. 


The other one I want on side is Simon Crisford’s JASH, who doesn’t have a lot to find on official ratings and has already proven himself to be adaptable on this tricky track having won over C&D winner previously. He’s won three of his six races, and was only beaten half-a-length when second in the 2018 Group One Middle Park Stakes. He won a Listed race next time out before running a fair race to finish sixth in the Commonwealth Cup on just his second start last season. His reappearance run at Newcastle was encouraging, and he’s fully expected to have come on loads for that run with a big performance anticipated here, especially being Jim Crowley’s preferred choice in the race. 


MONOSKI (14.25 Goodwood, 0.5pts each-way @11/1)

BATTERED (14.25 Goodwood, 0.5pts each-way @6/1)


This looks a tough puzzle to solve, but I’m willing to take a chance on Mark Johnston’s MONOSKI, who gets in here off a feather weight. His form has been patchy for quite some time, but his fourth behind Pinatubo in the Group One National Stakes, fourth behind Wichita next time in a Group Three, and sixth behind Palace Pier at Newcastle looks even better now. His handicap mark here of 87 carrying a small weight of 8-3 makes him an extremely well-treated individual. He does, however, need to show more than he has done of late, but if Joe Fanning can galvanise him into a prominent position early doors, there’s every chance we will see a big revival from this horse Saturday afternoon. 


The other one that sneaks in near the foot of the weights is the very well-treated BATTERED, who has been given every chance by the assessor with Oisin Murphy booked to ride. He won an identical race over C&D back in 2017 off a mark of 91, and he’s back over the same track and distance off 4lb lower here. Ralph Beckett’s six-year-old further went on to finish runner-up in two more valuable handicaps off marks of 96 and 98. He wasn’t seen for over two years afterwards, but demonstrated to many that he retained plenty of his ability with some good efforts in defeat year, albeit without threatening to get his head back in front. His two performances this year have been perfectly respectable efforts, shaping nicely on each occasion. Admittedly, this looks a relatively stronger race than last time, but he looks overpriced to me and I’ll be backing him each-way. 


LE VON DE VIE (14.40 Windsor, 1pt win @7/2)


This race looks competitive for the grade, but I’m going to side with the Hughie Morrison-trained LE VON DE VIE who won three times last year, two of which were in highly-competitive handicaps. His form this year looks even better, having placed fourth in the Duke Of Edinburgh at Royal Ascot followed by another fourth placed effort in the Old Newton Cup. Having said that, his performance in the Group Three Glorious Stakes at Goodwood when third last time out should be given plenty of recognition considering he looked desperately unlucky in-running. He raced keenly throughout and looked to be coming with a winning challenge, only to be denied a clear run at a crucial stage. Impressively, once daylight arrived, he ran on well to be gaining on the eventual winner and runner-up in the dying stages. That was a cracking run in defeat, and providing he doesn’t endure traffic problems on this occasion, he must hold valid claims to make amends with Hollie Doyle booked to ride. 


EVENING SUN (14.45 Newmarket, 1pt win @5/2)


EVENING SUN failed to justify strong market support here last time when sent off 6/4 favourite, evidently finishing second. But to be honest, I thought he did little wrong except bump into the very well-treated Godolphin team member, Laser Show. He’s only gone up 2lb as a result of that performance, and has winning form over C&D. The softer ground should prove no hardship, therefore, he’s given one more chance to finally come good in handicap company. 


TINANDALI (15.15 Windsor, 0.5pts each-way @14/1)


This looks very competitive, but I’m interested in the double-digit price about TINANDALI, who now has his sights set on a pattern race, for which, could be a shrewd bit of placing by connections. His four races in the UK this far have been excellent, finishing an unlucky fifth in the John Smith’s Cup (denied a clear run) before backing up that performance with a fast-finishing fifth in another ultra-competitive handicap at Glorious Goodwood. For sure, this race demands a lot more, but connections obviously feel as though he’s capable of making his presence felt at this level. With top-rider Jamie Spencer booked to ride, I’m happy enough to take a chance on him each-way at a nice price. 


CENTURY DREAM (15.35 Goodwood, 0.5pts each-way @9/2)


Another top-class renewal of the Celebration Mile as expected, but it might pay to side with Simon Crisford’s CENTURY DREAM, who will appreciate any cut in the ground. He goes particularly well for James Doyle, and was far from disgraced when fifth in a Group One at Chantilly on his latest start. He made the running to win well in a Group Three on his return to action, and having beaten Benbatl twice in the past, I’m expecting a similar outcome here. Simon Crisford boasts an excellent strike-rate at this track, and that trend could be enhanced with his only runner on today’s card at Newmarket. At the prices, Century Dream is the best value in the race as far as I can see, so he’s well worth chancing back down in class, especially knowing he’s likely to get a soft enough lead, which will see his useful tactical pace come into play before James Doyle hits the accelerator at a crucial part in the race which could prove decisive.


THOSEDAYSAREGONE (15.40 Wexford, 0.5pts each-way @5/1)


You could make a case for most of this field, who are more than good enough to make an impact. However, I’m going to give a strong mention to THOSEDAYSAREGONE, who looks as though he’s been laid out for the race. He did brilliantly over hurdles last season, winning the Ladbrokes Hurdle at Leopardstown followed up by an excellent fourth in the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival, for which he might have finished even closer granted a clear passage down the home straight. He’s started the season with four runs on the flat, shaping encouragingly on each occasion. So based on collateral form, I strongly suspect this horse has the scope for the most improvement in comparison to today’s rivals over fences, and his fitness will be assured today along with ground conditions being in his favour. He won his only previous chase start when comfortably dispatching the high-class 147-rated Mall Dini, so he rates an excellent each-way proposition. 


Thanks,


Steven



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