Saturday Betting Tips: 12/12/2020


Evening,


As you all know, it’s been a very tough week and this month has been a slow burner but I’m glad to have picked out SOME NECK, who won today’s cross country race, tipped at 28/1 and returned an SP 18/1 to secure us with fair profit on the day. DAL HORRISGLE (11.50 Doncaster, 1pt win @5/2) An interesting Novices’ Hurdle and Alan King’s DAL HORRISGLE has excellent claims to open his account over timber. He was an above-average sort on the flat, rated 102 at one point, and his third on hurdle debut last time has already taken shape given the winner, Bravemansgame, and runner-up, Runswick Bay, have both bolted up subsequently to enhance the form. With that said, this is an easier race and it will be disappointing if he doesn’t go close. NIETZCHE (13.15 Cheltenham, 0.5pts each-way @12/1) Brian Ellison’s seven-year-old NEITZCHE looks interesting near the foot of the weights. He’s already won over course-and-distance having won the Greatwood Hurdle back in 2018 and I’m surprised connections have waited this long to bring him back to a track that clearly suits him well. He’s not been able to match those heights over fences since, but he’s very well treated and his latest couple of third placed efforts in stronger handicap company looks useful. Furthermore, connections have booked Nico De Boinville to ride which clearly states a bold performance to be expected and, with that said, he’s a serious each-way player on these terms. SAINT SONNET (13.50 Cheltenham, 0.5pts each-way @12/1) AL DANCER (13.50 Cheltenham,1pt win @11/2) Paul Nicholls has won this race on plenty of occasion and Master Tommytucker will be a popular choice. However, I think it’s too soon to write off five-year-old, SAINT SONNET, who has potential off his current mark. He does, however, have to bounce back from a crashing fall in the Paddy Power Gold Cup, but perhaps this weekend’s forecast of better ground will see him to better effect and he looks the value call. Whilst AL DANCER ran a cracker to finish third in the same event last time out to not be beaten far having conceded plenty of weight to the first and second. He gets in here off an unchanged mark and the better ground will be more suitable. Nigel Twiston-Davies’ grey is weighted to reverse the form and given his back-class and plenty of strong form at this track and elsewhere. DANNY KIRWAN (14.25 Cheltenham, 1pt win @4/1) Another cracking event and the vote goes to Paul Nicholls’ DANNY KIRWAN. This seven-year-old has the size and scope to make an excellent staying chaser in time, but it was good to see him win convincingly at Ascot last time. The step up to three-miles from two-mile, four-furlong remains unknown but connections clearly feel he’s worth a crack over the distance and a strong galloping track looks ideal for him. With that latest win under his belt, hopefully he’ll be able to kick on now and strengthen up his Cheltenham Festival credentials with a big performance in this event. SUMMERVILLE BOY (15.00 Cheltenham, 0.5pts each-way @14/1) This race has the feel of a Grade One event rather than a Grade Two and you simply can’t rule out any of the ten-runners due to line-up. Anyway, I’m going to give Tom George’s SUMMERVILLE BOY one more chance back over two-miles. He’s not been seen over this trip over hurdles since finishing sixth in the Punchestown Champion Hurdle. However, his form this year looks very solid and he was far from disgraced when finishing fourth behind Thyme Hill in the Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle last time out having won on seasonal debut at Aintree. Given his proven stamina over further, one can assume he’ll be ridden very positively and he’s got the right man on his back in the shape of Tom Scudamore. MANOFTHEMOUNTAIN (15.15 Doncaster, 1pt win @11/2) SINGLEFARMPAYMENT (15.15 Doncaster, 0.5pts each-way @6/1) Emma Lavelle’s MANOFTHEMOUNTAIN continues to thrive over fences and his fourth at Cheltenham last time doesn’t justify the performance on the whole. He jumped and travelled powerfully to an extent before weakening two out. His mark remains on 137 and this track will suit better. The runner-up from that latest event, Cloth Cup, advertised the form with an easy win in the Ladbrokes Trophy. To add further claims, he’s won four of his five completed starts over fences and a glance through all of his form testifies his ability to surpass his current mark. The ten-year-old SINGLEFARMPAYMENT has broken more hearts than most other horse’s over the years, particularly at Cheltenham. However, he’s become very well-handicapped as a result and his latest stable debut for Henry Oliver when fourth at Sandown revealed that he still retains most of his ability. On the basis of his form overall, he’s surely worth another chance here as this race should be run to suit and Gavin Sheehan is an excellent judge in handicap’s. Hopefully he can work his magic to get this quirky but talented individual back in the winner’s enclosure.


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