Sam Martin Sunday Tips: 24/01/21
Welcome to my first Sunday Tips Blog for Horse Race Ratings.
I have been writing about horse racing for just over three years for Rein It In Racing (https://reinitinracing.wordpress.com).
You can follow me on Twitter – https://twitter.com/sam_angelina22
I’m really excited to be working with HRR and hopefully I will tip a few winners every Sunday!
As I post this on Friday night, the weather is making it unlikely that Thurles and Hereford will go ahead, with Thurles looking the most promising of the two. If Hereford passes their 3pm Saturday inspection, I think Sheldon will run well in the 13:20. He would’ve won last time if not for a horrible error. I have shared my thoughts on one race from Lingfield as well.
Narjes caught my eye here as she wears a visor for the first time. I guess they have chosen to use this to try and spark some more enthusiasm. She wore a hood last time and was pushed along out of the stalls to get a good position. She was squeezed out twice on the home turn and that didn’t aid her cause, leaving her to finish fifth. The handicapper has dropped her 1lbs for that, which places her on a mark that is 1lbs higher than when she won her first start for Mick Appleby. He is the master trainer on the All Weather and Tom Marquand rides this mare – he is two from seven for Appleby so far in 2021.
Selection – Narjes (5/1)
There are two grade twos on the Thurles card this Sunday. In this mares’ novice chase, Colreevy will probably be around odds-on and rightly so. She won impressively on her fences bow by fifteen lengths and then she won by half a length in a Punchestown grade one over Christmas. Admittedly, Asterion Forlonge did fall that day and she was getting 7lbs from the boys but, now back in mares-only company, she has to carry 7lbs more than the majority of her opposition. Yukon Lil is the one I keep going back to. She won on her penultimate start, beating Scarlet And Dove and Mount Ida comfortably. Last time out, she carried 4lbs more than Flis D’Oudaries, who won and then went on to run Envoi Allen close, when she was third. My worry with this mare is that if the ground is heavy then she will struggle to stay the last few furlongs and there is no doubt that Colreevy will stay. So, whilst I don’t want to tip short priced favourites too much, I’m going to have to side with Colreevy, even with the 11st9 on her back.
Selection – Colreevy (Evens)
I could either look a bit stupid or quite clever with this selection – and I hope it is the latter! I spent a lot of time looking at this race and I’m going to side with Elimay because 12/1 is too big. Twelve months ago, she won her second chase start by nine lengths in the mares’ novice chase on this card. So far this season, she has finished second, only beaten a nose over a trip that was probably two furlongs too short for her. She relishes this trip, the course and should like the ground. She only gets 2lbs from the boys and they are rated a lot higher than her. I think she is very progressive and is still unexposed and is definitely the value in the race. Her stablemate Annamix would be her biggest threat as his penultimate start puts him right on terms. Allaho hasn’t impressed me on the past two occasions. A lot of people seem to be expecting much better from him in this race.
Selection – Elimay (12/1)
*Please gamble responsibly.