Cheltenham All Friday Races
These are the Selections extracted from the Horse Race Ratings Powered By Racing Tracker Cheltenham Festival Guide.
Triumph Hurdle – Grade 1, 2m179y
Solo (157) came in with a big reputation on the back of some good French form and showed that in the Adonis when bolting up, the time was not quick but visually looked very good. Easily beat Fujimoto Flyer (136), who the trainer thinks is pretty decent how strong the rest of the field is, is up for debate. I must say though 157 seems excessive, I’d put him around 152/153.
Goshen (151) Has looks to have a huge engine, but he will need to be better over his hurdles, he will not get away with it going left-handed. The form has been franked, Gave Nordano an 11 Lengths beating, he came out and won since.
Allmankind (148) beat Nordano by 18 Lengths & 14 Lengths this season, plus also Cerberus (144) by 9 Lengths yet is only given (148), This is the strongest form out of these, Cerberus was 50 yards away from winning the Spring Juvenile, when he pulled himself up, when Wave of The Sea picked up the pieces after Aspire Tower Fell. So this form stacks up incredibly well.
Aspire Tower (145) has been progressive all season until the DRF, when falling at the last, needs to bounce back off a heavy fall, not sure he is quick enough to win this, with so much pace in the race.
With all the pace in the race A Wave of The Sea (138) is the interesting one again a strange rating, suggesting that he Handicapper doesn’t rate the Spring Juvenile, with all the pace on up front, he could stay on to pick up the pieces, but unlikely to get his head in front.
Cerberus I could not discount again off a strong pace, but cannot afford to blow up on the run in.
Should be a great race this
1. Allmankind EW 7/1 (Antepost)
2. Aspire Tower 7/1 EW (Antepost) Before Fall in Spring Juvenile
County Handicap Hurdle – Grade 3, 2m179y
Aramon(149) Aramon I think could hit 4th/5th in the Champion Hurdle, if he does rock up here has to have a big chance, ran a great 5th LTO in the Irish Champion finishing off very strongly, you wouldn’t want him too far off the pace, and will need better round ideally.
1. Aramon 10/1 EW
Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle - Grade 1, 2m7f213y
Thyme Hill (150) undoubtedly is the right favourite, there is one question mark however and that is the Trip, is yet to prove himself over 3miles, you think he should stay but in a race where there is a clearly a couple of Strong Stayers, will he have the gas to get passed them.
Monkfish looked very good LTO, but what has he beat? I think Mullins has said he is probably more one for next year, wouldn’t be for me as does not fit a battle-hardened profile.
Latest Exhibition (148) you can’t help but be impressed but the way he dug deep at Dublin Racing Festival to get up under a great ride by Bryan Cooper, beat Cobblers Way (145) and Longhouse Poet (145) Fury Road (144) was back in 4th and not given the best of rides by Davy, he will admit to that & Gordon Elliot said as much as well.
So of the Irish form, you would have to side with Latest Exhibition & possibly give Fury Road another chance at bigger price.
Harry Senior (144) for me was hugely impressive on trials day in what is a good race historically for this, stayed on very strongly, good course form and looked as though the extra trip will suit, but will still have to prove that, Robbie Power was very clear that this should be the race for him.
Ramses De Teillee (151) Highest rated in this, absolute proven stayer and has looked really impressive back over Hurdles, he will be the main pace angle, he will go out from the front and will be tough to pass, whether he will have the speed at the finish will be the question, if it is soft/heavy he will be tough to beat, has been well punted from the 33/1 to 25/1 I put up into 12/1 now.
Fury Road 10/1 EW Antepost
Harry Senior 14/1 EW Antepost
Ramses De Teillee 25/1 EW Antepost
Gold Cup – Grade 1, 3m2f70y
Al Boum Photo (175) has taken the same path as last year, it tough to win a Gold Cup, back to back but he is lightly campaigned and is the deserved Favourite as he did win it well last year, in what was not a really tough gold cup.
Santini (171) beat Bristol De Mai (170), who had a real battle with Lostintranslation (173) at Haydock, although I’m not Santini’s biggest fan, that is pretty decent form, I am not saying he will win this as I think he isn’t speedy enough, but he will be there at the finish.
Delta Work (171) best Irish form this year winning both the Lexus & Irish Gold Cup, think he was a bit fortunate LTO in that if Kemboy (175) jumped a lot better coming home, the result could’ve been different. Best of the Irish leading into this but not much between him & Kemboy.
Lostintranslation (173) really does need to bounce back from that really poor run at Kempton and that is a big concern for me, the race could be run 100% to suit him, but running and pulling up like that is not going to help him here Colin Tizzards been running really poor all week.
Clan Des Obeaux (173) Has now won back to back King George’s, but that is his MO, Flat Tracks, going let handed. He finished a tiring 5th last year, Nicholls said he is stronger this year, but I still see a similar result, there will be quite a bit on upfront and that I don’t think will suit him.
Kemboy (175) Is the Highest Rated horse in this and that is about right on last years form, he was very unfortunate last year where he slipped 5 or 6 yards after the first, this season he has had a troubled prep, due to the supreme racing syndicate group. Last year he had some nice build races, this year wasn’t able to do that and pitched into the Lexus with no Prep Runs and I thought despite the race not going to plan he ran a cracker, especially as Mullins horses were not in form, He definitely came on for that in the Irish Gold Cup, but his jumping let him down, but was staying on through the line. If he can jump cleaner he could be rip and fully fit to have a proper go in this.
Presenting Percy (166) I think has found his level and although you can’t discount him, I don’t think he is good enough to win this. Would need a couple ahead to underperform. Bristol De Mai (170) a solid horse hasn’t won at Cheltenham and will find 2 or 3 too good here. Monalee (168) will be prominent, performed much better in the Lexus, but will be found out 2 fences out and not get home.
ChrissDream (164) I hope goes in the Ryannair and not here, but I can see him being the surprise package if he runs, but I think this trip stretches him too much, will enjoy testing ground.
1. Al Boum Photo Win & Place
2. Kemboy Win & Place
3. Chriss Dream Win & Place
Foxhunters Chase – 3m2f70y
Billaway looks to be a proper Hunter Chase type, young, top trainer, very good facile win LTO, beating Staker Wallace by 8l, who has come out and won since comfortably. So on that basis has a big chance in my view.
1. Billaway Win & Place NAP
2. Staker Waller Win & Place
Grand Annual Handicap Chase – Grade 3, 2m62y
Greaneteen has looked very progressive since its seasonal debut at Chepstow when only 13th, is there more progression off a mark of 150 in a tough handicap, I’m not so sure, price is a bit short for me to find out.
Lisp has been in some decent races this season, only won the one and I have concerns over his Cheltenham form, it’s not been his favourite hunting ground, I’ll be opposing him.
Chosen Mate is also entered in the Plate, I would say he would run here, trip would suit him, put in a decent performance LTO, beating some decent horses, got an easy lead in that 3 out when left in front but did it well. Was a decent hurdler last season and seems to be going the right way over fences.
This brings me onto Éclair De Beaufeu & Paloma Blue, they for me have the strongest form in this from the Matheson, with a strong finishing Charlie Stout bang there, That form stacks up really well and at the prices and with this race their only target, you would have to have a bit on both.
1. Éclair De Beaufeu (16/1 Antepost) Win & Place/Extra Places
2. Paloma Blue Win (16/1 Antepost) & Place Extra/Places
Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle Conditional Jockeys – Class 2, 2m4f
1. Front View Win NAP
2. Five Oclock Win & Place