James at HRR
Feb 112 min
Hi All,
For the past few months, I have been analysing a lot of data, stretching back to 2018.
I started an exercise last year to look at each Race Rating and then produce a consolidated rating for the race ratings, which are the HRR Ratings.
These are as follows.
Race Rating RaR = HRRRaR (consolidated Strike Rates & Profit Performance)
Speed Rating SpR = HRRSpR (consolidated Strike Rates & Profit Performance)
Last Race Rating LrR = HRRLrR (consolidated Strike Rates & Profit Performance)
Trainer Rating TrR = HRRTrR (consolidated Strike Rates & Profit Performance)
Jockey Rating JoR = HRRJoR (consolidated Strike Rates & Profit Performance)
Today Conditions Rating ToR = HRRToR (consolidated Strike Rates & Profit Performance)
Stallion Rating StR = HRRStR (consolidated Strike Rates & Profit Performance)
HRRPro then combines all of these Ratings and deducts the performance as a rank ascending from 100.
Example 100 - (1+2+3+4+5+1+2+3+4+1+1+7+2+6) = 58 = HRR Pro Score.
I am now honing this to be more specific as to which combination of ratings performs the best at certain courses, types of races, etc., rather than a blanket calculation as above.
For example, in Chelmsford City, AW, Handicap, and Class 3 races, the JoR rating is the most consistent rating result below.
25% Win Strike Rate over three years with a Profit of +£27. This equates to a 39% ROI on win bets. Yes, there was one big winner in June 2021, but the confidence in consistency regarding performance relates to the place returns.
57% Place Strike Rate over three years with a profit of +£22. This equates to a 32% ROI on place bets, and the place graph shows a consistent upward trajectory in profit.
So, I am working through this step by step.
James
HRR